Measure concentration

Markov's Inequality

Expectation of a non-negative random variable Z can be written (tail-sum formula) as

E[Z]=∫x=0∞P[Z≥x]dx

Since P[Z≥x] is monotonically nonincreasing, we have

∀a≥0,E[Z]≥∫x=0aP[Z≥x]dx≥∫x=0aP[Z≥a]dx=aP[Z≥a].

Rearranging this, we get Markov's inequality:

∀a≥0,P[Z≥a]≤E[Z]a

Chebyshev's Inequality

Applying Markov's inequality on the random variable (Z−E[Z])2, we get:

∀a≥0,P[|Z−E[Z]|≥a]≤Var[Z]a2

This can be used to derive that given a sequence Z1,Z2,…,Zm of i.i.d. random variables with E[Z]=μ and Var[Z]≤1, then for any δ∈(0,1) with probability at least 1−δ, we have:

|1m∑i=1mZi−μ|≤1δm

(polynomial bound for the estimation error of the mean)

Chernoff's bounds

For independent Bernoulli random variables Z1,Z2,…,Zm where ∀i, P[Zi=1]=pi, denoting p=∑i=1mpi and Z=∑i=1mZi, we can show that:

P[Z>(1+δ)p]≤exp⁡(−pδ22+2δ3)

and

P[Z<(1−δ)p]≤exp⁡(−pδ22+2δ3)

Hoeffding's Inequality

For a sequence of i.i.d. random variables Z1,Z2,…,Zm with E[Z]=μ and P[a≤Z≤b]=1, we have for any ϵ>0,

P[|1m∑imZi−μ|>ϵ]≤2exp⁡(−2mϵ2(b−a)2)

Proof:
Let Xi=Zi−μ and X¯=1m∑imXi=Z¯−μ. Using Markov's inequality, we have that for any λ>0 and ϵ>0,

P[X¯≥ϵ]=P[eλX¯≥eλϵ]≤e−λϵ E[eλX¯]

Hoeffding's lemma: For a random variable X bounded between a and b with mean zero, for every λ>0, we have E[eλX]≤exp⁡(λ2(b−a)28).

Using independence and Hoeffding's lemma, we can obtain:

E[eλX¯]=E[∏ieλXi/m]=∏iE[eλXi/m]⟹P[X¯≥ϵ]≤e−λϵ∏ieλ2(b−a)2/8m2=e−λϵ+λ2(b−a)2/8m

The exponent −λϵ+λ2(b−a)2/8m is minimized for λ=4mϵ(b−a)2 yielding:

P[X¯≥ϵ]≤exp⁡(−2mϵ2(b−a)2)

For the other side, we can apply the same argument on the variable −X¯ to obtain:

P[X¯≤−ϵ]≤exp⁡(−2mϵ2(b−a)2)

Combining the two cases yields the desired bound.


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